I
am truly delighted to be here in your midst to release this most
impressive volume that my young friend, Kaushik Basu, has put
together. I compliment Kaushik, his team of advisory editors and the
Oxford University Press, they happen to be my publisher also for
this worthwhile endeavour. I must also compliment them for drawing
upon some of the best minds on the Indian economy. Indeed, this book
is not only a “what’s what” on economics in India, but is also a
“who’s who” of economists on India! Heartiest Congratulations!
The publication of this book is indeed very timely. There is today a
heightened interest in the Indian economy once again, and that
happens to be the case all over the world. I am sure this volume
will be a useful reference book for students, for researchers, for
teachers, for investors, for journalists and for policy makers and
politicians across the world interested in India.
When I look at the interest that India’s economic progress is once
again generating globally, I am reminded of the 1950s. Those were
the heydays of global interest in India. Some of the best minds from
the best Universities across the world came to India. They came here
to study India and they came here to help India. Our national
leadership ensured that we were an open house – an open society –
open to the free flow of ideas and scholarship. Institutions like
the Delhi School of Economics, the Indian Statistical Institute, the
Planning Commission and many others became exciting battleground of
ideas.
This period of great intellectual activity generated enormous
scholarship. Some great classics were written on India in the 1950s
and into the 1960s. Daniel and Alice Thorner’s Land and Labour in
India, John P Lewis’s The Quiet Crisis in India, W B Reddaway’s The
Development of the Indian Economy and Gunnar Myrdal’s classic The
Asian Drama, were just a few of the many books written by some of
the most eminent economists the world over on free India’s first two
decades. More importantly, the Indian experiment generated great
interest in the economics of development. It contributed to many new
ideas in economics at the time. Walt Rostow’s Stages of Economic
Growth was inspired by India’s experience. My teacher, Nicholas
Kaldor’s work on public finance drew heavily on Indian experience.
But the slowing down of our economy in the 1960s and 1970s, and,
more importantly, the multiple crises that took hold of our growth
process deflected attention away from India. In the 1980s and even
into the 1990s, China became the flavour of the times! However,
while international academic focus on India weakened, there has been
a robust tradition of high quality research at home. This volume
offers a glimpse of the range of economic issues on which there has
been considered thinking in India. Clearly, the economics profession
is alive and active! What is making the difference today is that our
economy today is alive and, once again, active!
The recent record of good performance on the economic front has
generated great interest in India’s economic prospects. It has
contributed to a renewed sense of optimism. As I have often said,
there are today no binding external constraints which can hold us
back. In the past it used to be said that India’s economic growth
was being held back by a trinity of internal and external
constraints – a foreign exchange constraint, a food and wage goods
constraint and a savings constraint. Today we can say with
confidence that we have broken each of these constraints.
The foreign exchange constraint was a manifestation of low global
competitiveness, an inward looking model of industrialization and
low global confidence in India. All this has changed. The easing of
the external constraint, therefore, is a manifestation of both
increased competitiveness of our economy and of greater global
confidence in India. We have also been able to largely overcome the
savings and the wage goods constraint. Who would have believed that
our savings rate would rise to as high as 32 per cent as brought out
by the latest publication of the Central Statistical Organisation.
However, as growth accelerates, new constraints have come up. The
shortage and poor quality of infrastructure is one such constraint.
The shortage of educated and skilled manpower is another constraint.
Together, the two contribute to low productivity, which in turn is
another constraint. Inadequate investment in agriculture and the
widening of rural urban disparities are also a cause for concern. So
also is the quality of governance and inefficiencies in the
provision of basic social services particularly education, health,
sanitation and the provision of safe drinking water.
The challenge before us then is to ease these internal constraints
to development. To be able to address the challenge at hand, we need
greater domestic social and political consensus. We need more
long-term thinking on policy issues, and less “short-termism” and
expediency. We need more sharply focused research on factors
contributing to the sluggishness of agricultural growth and ways and
means of revitalizing our rural economy. I hope professional
economists and the popular media will contribute to a more informed
domestic debate on the policy choices available to us. We must get
our act together so that we can make good use of the available and
emerging opportunities.
I
also hope that this volume will contribute to greater awareness
abroad about the unique experiment underway in India and the global
significance of the success of India’s development experiment. The
world has a stake in the success of the Indian experiment. Nowhere
else is such a diverse society, such a plural society, seeking its
economic and social salvation in the framework of an open society
and an open economy, committed to the respect of the rule of law and
fundamental human freedoms.
Indeed, this is what inspired liberal social scientists to study
India in the 1950s. But we lost our way and the world turned away
from us. Today, once again we have found our feet and we stand
taller. A new generation across the world watches us. I hope this
volume will help them understand India better.
Finally, I also hope the good work being done by economists like
Kaushik Basu, will help in developing new concepts in economics that
can help explain the Indian experiment better. India’s unique
experiment in economic development must contribute to the growth of
the discipline of economics. We must be able to shape the way the
discipline itself is going to evolve. I wish Kaushik, and all his
associates and all the contributors to this volume many more years
of productive intellectual activity.
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