I
am delighted to speak to such a distinguished audience on India’s
foreign policy priorities. Let me begin by thanking the S.
Rajaratnam School of International Studies and the Institute of
South Asian Studies for providing me the opportunity to do so. I
would also like to express my appreciation to the Government of
Singapore, in particular to Foreign Minister George Yeo, for the
warmth of their welcome and their hospitality. Mr. Yeo’s presence
here today only underlines the rapport that we have established.
I
have chosen to speak on this topic for a number of reasons. As many
of you would be aware, India has undergone very significant changes
in the last decade and a half. During this very same period, the
international order has also seen a profound structural
transformation. Consequently, the foreign policy of India has had to
reformulate its priorities. Some of it is reactive to a larger
environment. But much of the new thinking is driven by choices we
have made due to our changing domestic situation. We need to share
that thinking with key partners and regions where these priorities
make themselves felt. There can be no better venue than Singapore
for doing so.
Let me begin with the changes in India that have impelled the
emergence of new foreign policy priorities. The economic story is
well known. We have achieved an average rate of 9% growth in the
last three years and hope to push it up even further. The savings
rate is 32% of the GDP and the rate of investment is 35%. Both
manufacturing and services have performed impressively. While
sectors like information technology have a larger than life image in
this process of reform, the spread of prosperity has been widespread
and the population below poverty level has come down by almost ten
percentage points in the last decade. Rising foreign direct
investment figures convey both the potential for business and global
confidence in our success. India is also making its economic
presence felt abroad, notably through trade and acquisitions.
While optimistic of our prospects, we have to be objective about the
challenges that India faces. We ourselves believe that our
performance has fallen short in a number of areas. In the social
sector, we have not addressed primary education and primary health
as effectively as nations of South East Asia and East Asia have
done. This leaves us vulnerable to shortage of skills at various
levels. It also creates challenges of employability and social
backwardness. The foremost priority of the UPA Government is,
therefore, to step up social sector investments. We need both higher
growth and more inclusive growth. Bottlenecks posed by the current
state of infrastructure are also a major concern. They impact on our
efficiencies, employment potential and even on awareness. Similarly,
the utilisation rate of both physical and financial resources is
critical to our prospects. A profligate model of development is
simply not acceptable. Our successes in these sectors will be
central to the management of change.
Driven so significantly by domestic consumption, India has had to
create its own model of growth. There is, perhaps, no precedent for
change taking place on such a scale in a democratic framework. But
there is much that we can gain from interaction with other societies
in terms of best practices, improved capabilities and additionality
of resources. An era of 10% growth and closer integration with the
global economy clearly calls for a different approach. Emphasis on
expanding foreign trade and attracting greater foreign investment
flows requires a refocusing of our energies. Indian diplomacy has to
get more business oriented and the integration of science &
technology and other knowledge-based initiatives into our foreign
policy goals must be the norm. Energy cooperation is already
acquiring greater salience in our thinking and we are seeing that
key sectors like agriculture can also benefit from greater
international cooperation. As a result, economic and commercial work
in our Missions and Ministries is acquiring greater weightage.
Indeed, the inter se importance of relationships itself is changing,
taking these priorities into account. We have to take note, for
example, of the shift in global economic weight towards the Asia
Pacific region.
The transformation is not just in scope and content but in our
attitudes. Indian diplomacy approaches the world and the
opportunities that await it with much greater confidence. We look
forward to leveraging the external environment to achieve faster
growth. This has not always been our recent historical experience.
In the past, issues like food, aid or even investment had been used
to pressurise us on national security. Our growing strengths now
allow us to address what risks there may be in greater engagement.
At the same time, we would like to avoid the temptations of a
mercantilist approach. We are convinced that our efforts would be
better rewarded if they are perceived as equitable rather than
self-centred. Therefore, even as it draws from the world to its
advantage, India remains ready to contribute what it can. We are
today a net aid donor, with programmes extending to a number of
developing countries. Focusing on our skills development strengths,
we offer an ambitious and broad spectrum training programme called
ITEC to 156 nations. In peacekeeping, our forces have participated
in 43 of the 61 missions undertaken since the founding of the UN and
are currently deployed in Congo and Sudan. We have a long tradition
of perceiving the world as a family and our current approach can
draw strength from that tradition.
A
need-based review of our priorities does not present the full
picture in its complexity. Global structural changes also have to be
taken into account. Not only has the Cold War ended, but an
extraordinary inter-dependence among leading states of the
international order is in the making. This has led some analysts to
postulate conflict among the great powers today as extremely
unlikely. Historians may note that globalisation is not a new
phenomena and that inter-dependence did not prevent the First World
War. But the intensity and inter-penetration of the global processes
are of an altogether different order today. They affect fundamental
choices and shape basic lifestyles. This emanates, among other
factors, from the inter-linkages of the technology era. The economy
of comparative costs has generated new trade patterns and
dependencies. The migration of skills, and consequently of people,
is an added dimension. Information is used today to transcend both
space and time. After all, we Indians know that not just from
ancient learning but from the more contemporary phenomena of
Business Process Outsourcing and call centres!
Three factors stood in the way of these processes till a few years
ago. First, the Cold War and its ensuing political polarisation was
a great divide. Second, the weakness of post-colonial economies
prevented them from playing an adequate role. Third, the disruption
of natural connectivities and the artificial compartmentalisation of
regions during the colonial era also built barriers. India, for
example, was separated from South East Asia, West Asia and Central
Asia – all regions with which it has had deep historical
connections. What an eminent historian described as “the natural
unity of the Indian Ocean region” was disrupted and is still to be
fully restored.
At
the moment of our Independence, Jawaharlal Nehru very presciently
recognised the inherent inter-dependence of our world when he
declared that, “Peace has been said to be indivisible; so is
Freedom, so is Prosperity now, and so also is Disaster in this One
World that can no longer be split into isolated fragments.” Today,
there is a broader appreciation that what unites the key players is
more than what divides them. Policy makers are beginning to
understand that inter-dependence and competition can co-exist.
This has profound consequences for foreign policy formulation,
including for India. We see relationships less in terms of zero sum
games and more in terms of win-win outcomes. The search is for
constant leveraging and maximum flexibility with the belief that
progress in one relationship can lead to significant improvements in
others. We are willing to engage more because there are thresholds
below which relationships cannot afford to fall. This allows broader
engagement and isolation of differences where they may exist. The
confidence to moderate problems can grow if the natural tendency is
to search for commonalities. All of this naturally requires a change
of mindset, just as reforms do at home. The old balance of power
approach must give way to a greater acceptance of multi-polarity,
not only globally but in Asia as well. Diplomatic styles will
necessarily have to be more creative to take this into account.
India is particularly well placed in this new era as its
relationships with other major power centres could allow it to reach
an optimal position.
Any assessment of the future directions of the international system
naturally has to take into account the short-term challenges that
the system is likely to encounter. There are broadly four categories
of issues that a more inter-dependent world will have to address.
Each one has its own implications for India’s foreign policy. First,
there is the growing salience of the role of non-state actors in
global politics. These are pre-dominantly drawn from forces that are
opposed to the current international order and the values that it
represents. Since the order itself is essentially pluralistic and
diverse, non-state actors tend to be driven by narrow ideologies and
a fundamentalist outlook. Al-Qaeda is seen as the archetype after
2001 but we in India have known and been meeting such threats for
close to two decades before that infamous day. The solution to this
challenge lies in resisting the temptation to meet it equally
narrowly. Instead, we must remain steadfast in our commitment to
multi-culturalism and resist the temptation to square medieval
ideologies with modern day principles of democratic pluralism.
Non-state actors can move independently or in tandem with the less
responsible states of the international system. Such states,
therefore, represent a second category of challenges, prone to be
swayed by intolerance and narrowness of thought and out of step with
the contemporary world. Their relationship with the world tends to
be adversarial in character and carries a sense of self-interest to
the extreme. Therefore, there is in them little, if any, hesitation
in defying the rules by which nations today interact with each
other. A strategy to deal with such states is to draw them into the
system while simultaneously deterring them from undertaking
irresponsible actions. Diplomacy of such complexity obviously poses
its own problems.
We
are also required to address a growing host of global challenges.
Ranging from natural disasters and pandemics to environmental
concerns and terrorism, they need coordinated responses from the
international community for two reasons. One, the magnitude of the
problem and its spread across many nations makes it difficult for
any single nation to respond. Second, the very lack of national
ownership over the problem limits a purely national solution. As the
2004 tsunami experience demonstrated, building habits of cooperation
among nations is vital to a speedy response to global challenges.
This is an important objective for contemporary Indian foreign
policy.
The fourth category of challenges comes from the inequities of the
globalisation process. If there is a continuing mismatch between
expectations and benefits, we are writing a prescription for greater
global uncertainty. Rather than press dogmatically for the
prosperity of a select few, the international economic system has to
opt for a rising tide that will lift all boats.
The loss of cultural identities in the process of modernisation is
an equally worrying phenomenon. Given our stakes in global
stability, the Indian policy maker today has to apply the range of
options available – from training and assistance to soft power and
sharing of inter-cultural experiences – to achieve the best possible
outcome. The utilisation of civil society mechanisms will also have
to grow, including the role of Track II dialogues and Foreign
Offices will have to co-opt other players in order to enhance their
own performance.
The prospects in our own immediate neighbourhood also call for more
imaginative initiatives. We are committed to ensuring a peaceful
periphery. This is a requirement not only for India’s continued
growth but for the larger good of global society as well. Whether it
is trade or logistics, energy or services, a partnership with India
can be of great value to our neighbours. Our challenge is to provide
them incentives to step forward. Today, trans-national cooperation
is essential if communications within South Asia and beyond are to
significantly improve. The inter-dependent nature of security is
increasingly evident. India is not just a motor for regional growth;
it can equally be the bulwark of regional security. In charting a
bolder course, we will inevitably come up against suspicions and
scepticism. To allay them, we will have to be prepared to go the
extra mile. Our decision to unilaterally liberalise tariffs for the
least developed countries of the region is illustrative of this
approach and underlines the seriousness of our commitment to a South
Asian Customs Union, and eventually, an Economic Union.
In
South Asia, we have also stepped up our bilateral engagements while
seeking to make SAARC a broader and more open organisation. At its
14th Summit meeting in New Delhi in April 2007, we welcomed
Afghanistan as a member and China, Japan, US, the EU and South Korea
as associated observers. Iran will also be an associated observer at
the next Summit. Combating terrorism, including its financing
aspect, was another major focus of the Summit. Our vision of
stronger regional cooperation and harmony has led us to boldly
address even difficult historical problems with a view to finding
long-term solutions.
With the regions immediately east and west of India, our endeavour
is to revive historical cultural linkages to add more dimensions to
contemporary cooperation. With China, a more broad-based
relationship with greater exchanges has allowed us to build bridges
to a degree that could not have been anticipated a decade ago. With
the United States, the understanding on civilian nuclear energy
cooperation and a new framework of defence cooperation are two
examples of the transformation underway. With Russia, a
long-standing friend and reliable partner, our mutually beneficial
interaction, particularly in energy and technology trade, has
received a greater boost. The intensity of our engagement with the
European Union, with whom we hold annual partnership summits, has
grown across a broad spectrum of issues. With Japan, the convergence
of our interests has encouraged us to find new areas of cooperation.
India is also a member of a growing number of regional and
international structures. These include the ASEAN Dialogue, ARF,
more recently the East Asia Summit and Asia Europe Meeting, BIMSTEC,
the Indian Ocean Regional Cooperation initiative and the
India-Brazil-South Africa initiative. We have an open mind with
regard to other cooperative efforts and are willing to examine the
merits of participation if it is in consonance with our objectives
and values.
As
I speak of the changing nature of our engagement with the
international community, it is but natural that I should refer to
relations between Singapore and India. It was Singapore, after all,
which was among the earliest of our partners to realise the
implications of the reforms that we began a decade and a half ago.
Our partnership has greatly encouraged India’s stronger
participation in South East Asian and East Asian structures since
then. At a bilateral level, the Comprehensive Economic Cooperation
Agreement (CECA) that we concluded in 2005 has been a pioneering
effort. Its impact on trade and investment flows is already evident
– Singapore ranks among our top five partners on both counts. It has
also provided a template to address the requirements of a more
encompassing relationship, including quality and standards,
investment protection, recognition of qualifications, air services,
movement of people, science & technology, as well as education and
media. Our defence cooperation has also expanded significantly over
the years, and in my previous responsibility as Defence Minister, I
was glad to contribute to its growth.
The real significance of our ties lies in the role of Singapore as a
restorer of connectivity between India and East Asia. While their
more obvious manifestations are in trade and movement of people, the
cultural underpinnings are equally important. I would like to take
this opportunity to recognise the special significance of the
Nalanda Initiative that has been proposed by Foreign Minister George
Yeo. There can be no better symbol of a universal message which has
promoted interaction among societies over the span of history. We
are seeking to fully restore our traditional connectivity through
other initiatives as well.
I have had a very productive visit to Singapore, exchanging views
with the leadership here and concluding agreements in a number of
areas. These include the creation of a Joint Committee led by the
Foreign Ministers to regularly assess the totality of our ties, the
launch of an India Business Forum that brings together Indian
companies in Singapore, the announcement of a bilateral CEO’s Forum
whose recommendations would be carefully examined by our
Governments, the renewal of our cultural cooperation and an
understanding to examine the viability of the reconstruction of the
INA Memorial in Singapore. These initiatives illustrate well those
very priorities for our foreign policy that I have dilated upon
earlier.
At the time of
the founding of ASEAN in August 1967, the late Mr. Rajaratnam had
spoken of the challenge of marrying national thinking with regional
thinking. He saw the necessity of not only thinking of national
interests but of positing them against regional interests as a new
way of thinking. He also accepted that regional existence means
adjustments, which may not be easy. Today, the same logic can be
taken to the global level. But what he said for ASEAN then holds
true for the foreign policy of India – we stand for something, not
against anything.
I thank you for your attention and would be glad to tak
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